[image_spread img_url="https://poli.cms.ar ts.ubc.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2022/10/jaroslav_tir_poster.jpg" capt ion="" width="website"]
One of the most wel l-known arguments in political science research concerns the rally around t he flag phenomenon. In the face of threat challenging a country's security\ , its populace rallies behind the leader\, increasing government approval a nd incumbent voting. Available evidence generally focusing on a relatively small number of attacks and countries suggests that terrorism\, such as the September 11th attacks\, generate rallies. Yet\, given that terror attack have taken places across a range of countries and cover different methods ( e.g.\, suicide bombings\, assassinations) begs the question of whether terr or-induced rallies reliably manifest across varying terror attack circumsta nce. We leverage pre-registered survey experiments conducted in Canada and India\, as well as a natural experiment from the Netherlands\, in an attemp t to gather causal evidence of rally effects. Covering common terror scenar ios\, namely a warning of an imminent attack\, a mass-casualty suicide bomb ing\, and a high-profile public assassination\, we provide evidence that te rrorism provokes responses consistent with feelings of threat. Yet\, rally effects themselves fail to materialize across our studies\, both overall an d when we subset our data by partisanship\, ideology\, or gender. Rally eff ects thus may well be more limited than the overall literature seems to ind icate.
[gravityform id="49" title="true" description="true"]
CATEGORIES:Featured Homepage,Featured News/Events LOCATION:Buchanan Penthouse GEO:49.260872;-123.113952 URL;VALUE=URI:https://politics.ubc.ca/events/event/dr-jaroslav-tir-does-ter rorism-produce-rallies-quasi-experimental-evidence-from-three-countries/ ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://poli.cms.arts.ubc.ca/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2022/10/jaroslav_tir_poster.jpg END:VEVENT BEGIN:VTIMEZONE TZID:America/Vancouver BEGIN:STANDARD TZOFFSETFROM:-0700 TZOFFSETTO:-0800 DTSTART:20221106T090000 TZNAME:PST END:STANDARD END:VTIMEZONE END:VCALENDAR