Professor Emeritus Richard Johnston said outstanding mail-in votes could make some close ridings impossible to call on Monday night.
“It really comes down to whether the margins in most ridings, between the first and second place candidate, are large enough that with a kind of back-of-the envelope model, the votes likely to be cast for the various parties the next day don’t overturn the results,” he said.
Watch: 2021 Election: Policy Promises, Candidates, and Challenges
In this webinar, panelists will discuss policy issues, candidate diversity –what it’s looked like over time and why it matters, and delve into the challenges posed for a range of actors (like researchers, parties, Elections Canada) by holding a snap election.
Election outcome depends on which party can command the confidence of the House, Prof. Maxwell Cameron says
There are three approaches to minorities, notes Cameron, the most common being the informal vote-by-vote approach taken by Trudeau during the past two years. Cameron suspects that would be the likely approach again should Monday’s election produce another minority.
Profs. Michael Byers and Yves Tiberghien comment on how Canada’s relationship to China is impacting the 2021 election
“We’re the mouse caught between the elephant and the dragon and yes, the broader relationship between Washington and Beijing determines almost everything,” said Professor Michael Byers.
Prof. Kathryn Harrison analyzes how voters respond to climate change as a priority issue
“All of these initiatives are trying from the margins to have an impact on our voting system and our parliamentary system. They’ve got uphill battles,” said Prof. Kathryn Harrison.
Prof. Allan Tupper says Conservative leader Erin O’Toole has put on a very moderate face during this election
“It looks like the Conservatives are running a stronger campaign than the Liberals anticipated. They fell into the trap saying these guys are Thatcherite, anti-abortion, anti-vaxxers, and Trump-like,” Prof. Tupper added.
Postdoctoral researcher Chris Tenove interviewed in The Tyee on the ugly trajectory of violent episodes during Canada’s 2021 election
Political parties in Canada can do more to fight the toxicity during Canada’s election campaigns by providing better training and support, especially for under-resourced and at-risk candidates, says Chris Tenove
Prof. Maxwell Cameron says Canada’s pandemic response has become a polarizing issue because of the federal election
Prof. Maxwell Cameron added that one of the most interesting events in this election is the pivot of Erin O’Toole and the Conservatives toward the center with a policy program that makes him hard to distinguish from the Liberals.
Prof. Allan Tupper comments on “busy” debate formats during Canadian election campaign
Dr. Allan Tupper said the process of the current debates are highly structured, very busy in the sense they’ve got all different journalists and questions from Canadians, there are strict time limits, and five candidates.
Conservative plan to cut carbon emissions not based on Canada’s current commitments says Prof. Kathryn Harrison
Prof. Kathryn Harrison said O’Toole’s claim that the Conservatives would meet a Paris Agreement target of 30 per cent emissions cut is misleading. “In fact, that’s not Canada’s Paris Agreement target anymore,” she said.